Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 1374.398621 1509.489303 1647.360285 1798.318899 1958.681658 2123.680396 2306.007272
2025-04-13 1107.695790 1300.506930 1506.121281 1740.586783 1999.419464 2275.335628 2590.598082
2025-04-20 1009.674179 1243.268494 1500.173541 1801.341019 2142.371843 2514.303131 2948.307678
2025-04-27 921.413490 1182.838701 1478.099340 1832.391980 2242.088257 2697.239577 3237.322988
2025-05-04 832.231388 1111.255266 1434.315541 1830.320124 2296.966770 2823.924544 3458.408045
2025-05-11 751.056114 1041.528294 1385.868941 1816.428015 2332.634325 2924.219691 3645.851617
2025-05-18 694.542500 996.881346 1362.976127 1828.848457 2395.860597 3053.965483 3865.677002
2025-05-25 634.480961 943.009534 1324.638059 1818.770053 2429.048850 3146.065880 4039.814087
2025-06-01 595.519033 913.191903 1313.617944 1839.994753 2498.353974 3279.948443 4262.909716
2025-06-08 544.786762 864.254683 1275.206727 1824.158429 2519.888420 3354.804690 4414.487906
2025-06-15 522.829915 852.407539 1283.287725 1866.169386 2612.534792 3515.691517 4670.045673
2025-06-22 489.407078 822.470219 1265.729072 1873.624481 2660.661722 3621.503360 4858.724625
2025-06-29 455.084320 789.772021 1243.601837 1874.890319 2701.518555 3719.815674 5040.866604
2025-07-06 401.878365 726.463669 1177.043877 1814.895382 2661.733057 3716.330398 5096.804410
2025-07-13 394.428363 730.056076 1202.284180 1877.451335 2780.796897 3912.585941 5401.463368
2025-07-20 377.689115 718.446354 1205.358521 1909.410279 2859.648945 4058.268913 5643.785816
2025-07-27 351.683426 690.873455 1184.369866 1907.277975 2892.734140 4145.353433 5812.647041
2025-08-03 324.127908 659.006458 1155.604773 1892.979982 2908.543600 4209.618176 5952.417788
2025-08-10 306.242703 641.469907 1146.783174 1905.763355 2960.142778 4319.823970 6150.720759
2025-08-17 283.437980 614.304720 1122.381943 1895.390513 2979.593202 4387.866195 6295.150178
2025-08-24 270.481875 602.816908 1120.877581 1917.234713 3042.712182 4512.949136 6513.178419
2025-08-31 249.070256 575.326742 1093.713287 1900.936371 3052.615744 4567.713942 6640.475786
2025-09-07 243.060270 574.465337 1107.451284 1944.170340 3144.989954 4731.642246 6909.756778